Mayfield United vs Midleton FC

08 Sep 2026 · 21:00

OPPORTUNITY

SLIGHT EDGE HOME +2.8 pp

Mayfield United

Midleton FC

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 26.3% DRAW 24.7% AWAY 48.9%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 23.5% 4.08 DRAW 24.6% 3.90 AWAY 51.9% 1.85

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet sees a slight edge for Mayfield United relative to the market.

Our calibrated model estimates a 26.3% win probability, compared with 23.5% implied by the market. The 2.8 percentage-point difference suggests a modest divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Mayfield United

The home side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Mayfield United Midleton FC

Shots 11.0 · On target 6.8 Shots 10.0 · On target 4.3

Recent attacking output favours Mayfield United, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Mayfield United Midleton FC

Shots allowed 11.5 · On target allowed 6.5 Shots allowed 15.0 · On target allowed 5.0

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Mayfield United Midleton FC

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home weakening

Mayfield United ↑ +0.39 (+10.4%)

Midleton FC ↑ +0.04 (+2.0%)

The home price has moved clearly higher, while the away price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.