Atletico Colegiales vs River Plate Asuncion

09 Sep 2026 · 15:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +2.0 pp

Atletico Colegiales

River Plate Asuncion

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 21.6% DRAW 25.6% AWAY 52.9%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 19.5% 4.68 DRAW 25.1% 3.64 AWAY 55.4% 1.65

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 2.0 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Defensive Edge: Atletico Colegiales

The home side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Atletico Colegiales River Plate Asuncion

Shots 5.5 · On target 2.8 Shots 5.3 · On target 3.0

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Atletico Colegiales River Plate Asuncion

Shots allowed 8.0 · On target allowed 3.5 Shots allowed 9.8 · On target allowed 5.0

Atletico Colegiales has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Atletico Colegiales River Plate Asuncion

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Atletico Colegiales ↑ +0.34 (+7.9%)

River Plate Asuncion = (0.0%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.