29 de Septiembre FBC vs Sportivo Iteno

09 Sep 2026 · 15:00

OPPORTUNITY

CLEAR EDGE HOME +4.8 pp

29 de Septiembre FBC

Sportivo Iteno

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 54.4% DRAW 24.2% AWAY 21.3%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 49.6% 1.80 DRAW 25.5% 3.50 AWAY 24.8% 3.60

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet rates 29 de Septiembre FBC clearly higher than the market does.

Our calibrated model estimates a 54.4% win probability, compared with 49.6% implied by the market. The 4.8 percentage-point difference indicates a clear divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Sportivo Iteno

The home side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

29 de Septiembre FBC Sportivo Iteno

Shots 7.8 · On target 4.0 Shots 8.3 · On target 4.0

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

29 de Septiembre FBC Sportivo Iteno

Shots allowed 8.3 · On target allowed 4.0 Shots allowed 18.5 · On target allowed 7.8

29 de Septiembre FBC has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

29 de Septiembre FBC Sportivo Iteno

The combined recent performance profile favours 29 de Septiembre FBC.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

29 de Septiembre FBC = (0.0%)

Sportivo Iteno = (0.0%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.