Barra FC vs Blumenau EC

16 Sep 2026 · 00:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.7 pp

Barra FC

Blumenau EC

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 25.9% DRAW 24.6% AWAY 49.6%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 24.2% 3.80 DRAW 24.7% 3.72 AWAY 51.1% 1.80

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.7 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Mixed Performance

The overall recent shot balance favours the home side, although neither attack nor defence dominates every measure.

Attack Recent attacking output

Barra FC Blumenau EC

Shots 5.8 · On target 3.3 Shots 5.8 · On target 2.8

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Barra FC Blumenau EC

Shots allowed 8.0 · On target allowed 3.3 Shots allowed 9.0 · On target allowed 3.0

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Barra FC Blumenau EC

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Barra FC ↑ +0.22 (+11.7%)

Blumenau EC ↑ +0.28 (+7.9%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.