Stjarnan vs IBV Vestmannaeyjar

13 Sep 2026 · 16:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.1 pp

Stjarnan

IBV Vestmannaeyjar

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 52.4% DRAW 21.1% AWAY 26.5%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 51.2% 1.85 DRAW 22.2% 4.28 AWAY 26.6% 3.58

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.1 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Stjarnan

Recent attacking and defensive numbers do not show a clear overall edge.

Attack Recent attacking output

Stjarnan IBV Vestmannaeyjar

Shots 17.0 · On target 6.3 Shots 14.0 · On target 5.3

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Stjarnan IBV Vestmannaeyjar

Shots allowed 15.8 · On target allowed 6.0 Shots allowed 11.5 · On target allowed 6.3

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Stjarnan IBV Vestmannaeyjar

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away strengthening

Stjarnan ↑ +0.18 (+10.7%)

IBV Vestmannaeyjar ↓ -0.43 (-10.6%)

The away price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the away side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.