Fram Reykjavik vs Breidablik

15 Sep 2026 · 21:15

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +2.2 pp

Fram Reykjavik

Breidablik

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 59.5% DRAW 20.8% AWAY 19.7%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 57.3% 1.67 DRAW 22.0% 4.35 AWAY 20.6% 4.64

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 2.2 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Breidablik

The home side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Fram Reykjavik Breidablik

Shots 12.3 · On target 5.3 Shots 12.5 · On target 5.3

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Fram Reykjavik Breidablik

Shots allowed 10.8 · On target allowed 4.0 Shots allowed 13.8 · On target allowed 6.0

Fram Reykjavik has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Fram Reykjavik Breidablik

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away weakening

Fram Reykjavik ↓ -0.03 (-1.8%)

Breidablik ↑ +0.94 (+25.4%)

The away price has moved clearly higher, while the home price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.