Vikingur Reykjavik vs Keflavik

14 Sep 2026 · 21:15

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.8 pp

Vikingur Reykjavik

Keflavik

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 74.6% DRAW 13.6% AWAY 11.8%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 74.6% 1.28 DRAW 14.5% 6.59 AWAY 11.0% 8.70

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.8 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Keflavik

The away side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Vikingur Reykjavik Keflavik

Shots 12.5 · On target 5.0 Shots 16.0 · On target 6.3

Recent attacking output favours Keflavik, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Vikingur Reykjavik Keflavik

Shots allowed 10.0 · On target allowed 4.5 Shots allowed 12.8 · On target allowed 4.5

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Vikingur Reykjavik Keflavik

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away weakening

Vikingur Reykjavik ↑ +0.03 (+2.4%)

Keflavik ↑ +1.70 (+24.3%)

The away price has moved clearly higher, while the home price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.