The Town vs Ventura County FC

10 Sep 2026 · 04:30

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.7 pp

The Town

Ventura County FC

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 44.1% DRAW 22.9% AWAY 33.1%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 45.0% 2.06 DRAW 23.7% 3.92 AWAY 31.3% 2.96

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.7 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Ventura County FC has the stronger recent profile

The away side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

The Town Ventura County FC

Shots 8.3 · On target 3.0 Shots 8.5 · On target 4.3

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

The Town Ventura County FC

Shots allowed 10.3 · On target allowed 4.3 Shots allowed 7.8 · On target allowed 2.5

Ventura County FC has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

The Town Ventura County FC

The combined recent performance profile favours Ventura County FC.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away strengthening

The Town ↑ +0.23 (+12.4%)

Ventura County FC ↓ -0.24 (-7.5%)

The away price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the away side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.