Maccabi Ironi Sderot vs Maccabi Kiryat Malakhi

09 Sep 2026 · 18:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.4 pp

Maccabi Ironi Sderot

Maccabi Kiryat Malakhi

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 52.4% DRAW 26.5% AWAY 21.1%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 50.9% 1.80 DRAW 27.0% 3.40 AWAY 22.1% 4.15

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.4 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Maccabi Ironi Sderot has the stronger recent profile

The home side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Maccabi Ironi Sderot Maccabi Kiryat Malakhi

Shots 3.3 · On target 2.0 Shots 2.5 · On target 1.0

Recent attacking output favours Maccabi Ironi Sderot, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Maccabi Ironi Sderot Maccabi Kiryat Malakhi

Shots allowed 0.8 · On target allowed 0.5 Shots allowed 2.0 · On target allowed 1.5

Maccabi Ironi Sderot has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Maccabi Ironi Sderot Maccabi Kiryat Malakhi

The combined recent performance profile favours Maccabi Ironi Sderot.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away weakening

Maccabi Ironi Sderot = (0.0%)

Maccabi Kiryat Malakhi ↑ +0.35 (+9.1%)

The away price has moved clearly higher, while the home price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.