Nautico Capibaribe U20 vs Vitoria PE U20

16 Sep 2026 · 20:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.4 pp

Nautico Capibaribe U20

Vitoria PE U20

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 59.9% DRAW 22.7% AWAY 17.4%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 61.3% 1.50 DRAW 22.7% 4.05 AWAY 16.1% 5.72

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.4 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Nautico Capibaribe U20

The away side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Nautico Capibaribe U20 Vitoria PE U20

Shots 11.0 · On target 4.8 Shots 8.8 · On target 4.8

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Nautico Capibaribe U20 Vitoria PE U20

Shots allowed 11.0 · On target allowed 4.0 Shots allowed 5.3 · On target allowed 2.5

Vitoria PE U20 has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Nautico Capibaribe U20 Vitoria PE U20

The combined recent performance profile favours Vitoria PE U20.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away weakening

Nautico Capibaribe U20 = (0.0%)

Vitoria PE U20 ↑ +0.72 (+14.4%)

The away price has moved clearly higher, while the home price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.