Fenerbahce U19 vs Roma U20

10 Sep 2026 · 13:00

OPPORTUNITY

SLIGHT EDGE AWAY +2.8 pp

Fenerbahce U19

Roma U20

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 19.5% DRAW 17.1% AWAY 63.3%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 20.8% 4.30 DRAW 18.7% 4.80 AWAY 60.5% 1.48

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet sees a slight edge for Roma U20 relative to the market.

Our calibrated model estimates a 63.3% win probability, compared with 60.5% implied by the market. The 2.8 percentage-point difference suggests a modest divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Roma U20 has the stronger recent profile

The away side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Fenerbahce U19 Roma U20

Shots 6.8 · On target 2.5 Shots 12.8 · On target 5.5

Recent attacking output favours Roma U20, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Fenerbahce U19 Roma U20

Shots allowed 11.8 · On target allowed 5.0 Shots allowed 9.8 · On target allowed 4.0

Roma U20 has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Fenerbahce U19 Roma U20

The combined recent performance profile favours Roma U20.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away strengthening

Fenerbahce U19 ↑ +0.35 (+8.9%)

Roma U20 ↓ -0.10 (-6.3%)

The away price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the away side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.