Throttur Reykjavik vs Njardvik

13 Sep 2026 · 18:15

OPPORTUNITY

SLIGHT EDGE HOME +3.9 pp

Throttur Reykjavik

Njardvik

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 58.9% DRAW 21.2% AWAY 19.9%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 55.0% 1.76 DRAW 22.7% 4.28 AWAY 22.3% 4.35

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet sees a slight edge for Throttur Reykjavik relative to the market.

Our calibrated model estimates a 58.9% win probability, compared with 55.0% implied by the market. The 3.9 percentage-point difference suggests a modest divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Throttur Reykjavik has the stronger recent profile

The home side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Throttur Reykjavik Njardvik

Shots 12.8 · On target 7.0 Shots 7.0 · On target 4.0

Recent attacking output favours Throttur Reykjavik, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Throttur Reykjavik Njardvik

Shots allowed 5.3 · On target allowed 2.3 Shots allowed 5.5 · On target allowed 3.3

Throttur Reykjavik has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Throttur Reykjavik Njardvik

The combined recent performance profile favours Throttur Reykjavik.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Throttur Reykjavik ↑ +0.07 (+4.3%)

Njardvik ↑ +0.35 (+8.8%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.