United SC vs Mohun Bagan SG II

14 Sep 2026 · 11:30

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.5 pp

United SC

Mohun Bagan SG II

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 16.8% DRAW 21.7% AWAY 61.4%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 15.3% 5.97 DRAW 21.5% 4.25 AWAY 63.1% 1.45

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.5 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Mohun Bagan SG II

Recent attacking and defensive numbers do not show a clear overall edge.

Attack Recent attacking output

United SC Mohun Bagan SG II

Shots 14.0 · On target 8.8 Shots 17.0 · On target 8.8

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

United SC Mohun Bagan SG II

Shots allowed 4.5 · On target allowed 1.5 Shots allowed 6.8 · On target allowed 2.8

United SC has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

United SC Mohun Bagan SG II

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away strengthening

United SC ↑ +1.64 (+37.8%)

Mohun Bagan SG II ↓ -0.17 (-10.2%)

The away price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the away side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.