Atletico Choloma vs Estrella Roja

19 Sep 2026 · 03:30

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.9 pp

Atletico Choloma

Estrella Roja

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 33.4% DRAW 27.4% AWAY 39.2%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 34.0% 2.68 DRAW 27.6% 3.30 AWAY 38.3% 2.38

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.9 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Estrella Roja

Recent attacking and defensive numbers do not show a clear overall edge.

Attack Recent attacking output

Atletico Choloma Estrella Roja

Shots 12.8 · On target 5.5 Shots 16.0 · On target 5.5

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Atletico Choloma Estrella Roja

Shots allowed 12.8 · On target allowed 5.0 Shots allowed 10.3 · On target allowed 5.3

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Atletico Choloma Estrella Roja

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away strengthening

Atletico Choloma ↑ +0.28 (+11.7%)

Estrella Roja ↓ -0.27 (-10.2%)

The away price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the away side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.