Juventud Unida San Miguel Reserves vs Argentino de Rosario Reserves

09 Sep 2026 · 17:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +2.4 pp

Juventud Unida San Miguel Reserves

Argentino de Rosario Reserves

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 8.7% DRAW 11.8% AWAY 79.5%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 9.6% 11.50 DRAW 13.3% 8.30 AWAY 77.1% 1.43

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 2.4 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Argentino de Rosario Reserves has the stronger recent profile

The away side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Juventud Unida San Miguel Reserves Argentino de Rosario Reserves

Shots 7.0 · On target 2.3 Shots 9.0 · On target 4.5

Recent attacking output favours Argentino de Rosario Reserves, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Juventud Unida San Miguel Reserves Argentino de Rosario Reserves

Shots allowed 12.0 · On target allowed 5.8 Shots allowed 5.5 · On target allowed 1.3

Argentino de Rosario Reserves has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Juventud Unida San Miguel Reserves Argentino de Rosario Reserves

The combined recent performance profile favours Argentino de Rosario Reserves.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home weakening

Juventud Unida San Miguel Reserves ↑ +5.69 (+97.9%)

Argentino de Rosario Reserves ↓ -0.04 (-2.7%)

The home price has moved clearly higher, while the away price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.