Deportivo Merlo Reserves vs Deportivo Laferrere Reserves

09 Sep 2026 · 20:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.5 pp

Deportivo Merlo Reserves

Deportivo Laferrere Reserves

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 46.4% DRAW 30.1% AWAY 23.5%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 45.8% 2.09 DRAW 29.9% 3.20 AWAY 24.2% 3.95

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.5 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Deportivo Laferrere Reserves

The home side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Deportivo Merlo Reserves Deportivo Laferrere Reserves

Shots 7.5 · On target 2.0 Shots 8.5 · On target 3.3

Recent attacking output favours Deportivo Laferrere Reserves, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Deportivo Merlo Reserves Deportivo Laferrere Reserves

Shots allowed 7.5 · On target allowed 2.8 Shots allowed 9.8 · On target allowed 4.8

Deportivo Merlo Reserves has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Deportivo Merlo Reserves Deportivo Laferrere Reserves

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away strengthening

Deportivo Merlo Reserves ↑ +0.43 (+25.9%)

Deportivo Laferrere Reserves ↓ -0.99 (-20.0%)

The away price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the away side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.