CS Dock Sud Reserves vs CA Brown de Adrogue Reserves

09 Sep 2026 · 20:00

OPPORTUNITY

SLIGHT EDGE HOME +2.9 pp

CS Dock Sud Reserves

CA Brown de Adrogue Reserves

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 55.0% DRAW 27.3% AWAY 17.7%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 52.1% 1.85 DRAW 28.0% 3.45 AWAY 19.9% 4.84

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet sees a slight edge for CS Dock Sud Reserves relative to the market.

Our calibrated model estimates a 55.0% win probability, compared with 52.1% implied by the market. The 2.9 percentage-point difference suggests a modest divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

CS Dock Sud Reserves has the stronger recent profile

The home side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

CS Dock Sud Reserves CA Brown de Adrogue Reserves

Shots 12.0 · On target 3.5 Shots 7.0 · On target 2.3

Recent attacking output favours CS Dock Sud Reserves, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

CS Dock Sud Reserves CA Brown de Adrogue Reserves

Shots allowed 4.0 · On target allowed 1.0 Shots allowed 6.0 · On target allowed 3.0

CS Dock Sud Reserves has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

CS Dock Sud Reserves CA Brown de Adrogue Reserves

The combined recent performance profile favours CS Dock Sud Reserves.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home strengthening

CS Dock Sud Reserves ↓ -0.25 (-11.9%)

CA Brown de Adrogue Reserves ↓ -0.01 (-0.2%)

The home price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the home side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.