Cariari Pococi vs Santa Ana

10 Sep 2026 · 21:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.1 pp

Cariari Pococi

Santa Ana

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 38.9% DRAW 26.8% AWAY 34.3%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 39.6% 2.33 DRAW 27.2% 3.40 AWAY 33.2% 2.78

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.1 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Santa Ana

The away side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Cariari Pococi Santa Ana

Shots 8.0 · On target 3.5 Shots 14.3 · On target 5.0

Recent attacking output favours Santa Ana, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Cariari Pococi Santa Ana

Shots allowed 7.8 · On target allowed 4.3 Shots allowed 11.0 · On target allowed 4.0

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Cariari Pococi Santa Ana

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away strengthening

Cariari Pococi ↑ +0.23 (+11.0%)

Santa Ana ↓ -0.41 (-12.9%)

The away price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the away side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.