Kep vs Kampot

09 Sep 2026 · 10:30

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +2.2 pp

Kep

Kampot

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 45.3% DRAW 16.4% AWAY 38.3%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 43.1% 2.20 DRAW 18.1% 5.25 AWAY 38.9% 2.44

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 2.2 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Defensive Edge: Kampot

Recent attacking and defensive numbers do not show a clear overall edge.

Attack Recent attacking output

Kep Kampot

Shots 7.0 · On target 3.8 Shots 7.5 · On target 1.8

Recent attacking output favours Kep, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Kep Kampot

Shots allowed 8.8 · On target allowed 3.5 Shots allowed 8.5 · On target allowed 2.5

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Kep Kampot

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home strengthening

Kep ↓ -0.25 (-10.2%)

Kampot ↑ +0.49 (+25.1%)

The home price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the home side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.