KFR (W) vs Alftanes (W)

10 Sep 2026 · 20:00

OPPORTUNITY

STRONG EDGE HOME +10.7 pp

KFR (W)

Alftanes (W)

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 68.8% DRAW 16.6% AWAY 14.6%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 58.1% 1.55 DRAW 20.0% 4.50 AWAY 21.9% 4.10

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet rates KFR (W) substantially higher than the market does.

Our calibrated model estimates a 68.8% win probability, compared with 58.1% implied by the market. The 10.7 percentage-point difference indicates a strong divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Alftanes (W)

The home side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

KFR (W) Alftanes (W)

Shots 3.5 · On target 1.8 Shots 5.8 · On target 2.0

Recent attacking output favours Alftanes (W), combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

KFR (W) Alftanes (W)

Shots allowed 4.8 · On target allowed 2.0 Shots allowed 25.8 · On target allowed 15.3

KFR (W) has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

KFR (W) Alftanes (W)

The combined recent performance profile favours KFR (W).

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home strengthening

KFR (W) ↓ -0.28 (-15.4%)

Alftanes (W) ↑ +1.10 (+36.7%)

The home price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the home side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.