Betlemi vs FC Margveti 2006

10 Sep 2026 · 14:00

OPPORTUNITY

SLIGHT EDGE AWAY +3.0 pp

Betlemi

FC Margveti 2006

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 9.3% DRAW 15.9% AWAY 74.8%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 10.7% 8.75 DRAW 17.5% 5.35 AWAY 71.9% 1.30

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet sees a slight edge for FC Margveti 2006 relative to the market.

Our calibrated model estimates a 74.8% win probability, compared with 71.9% implied by the market. The 3.0 percentage-point difference suggests a modest divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

FC Margveti 2006 has the stronger recent profile

The away side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Betlemi FC Margveti 2006

Shots 6.0 · On target 1.5 Shots 10.3 · On target 2.8

Recent attacking output favours FC Margveti 2006, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Betlemi FC Margveti 2006

Shots allowed 18.5 · On target allowed 7.8 Shots allowed 8.5 · On target allowed 4.8

FC Margveti 2006 has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Betlemi FC Margveti 2006

The combined recent performance profile favours FC Margveti 2006.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away strengthening

Betlemi ↑ +5.50 (+169.2%)

FC Margveti 2006 ↓ -0.50 (-27.8%)

The away price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the away side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.