Tzeirey Umm al-Fahm vs Maccabi Neve Shaanan Eldad

10 Sep 2026 · 19:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +2.2 pp

Tzeirey Umm al-Fahm

Maccabi Neve Shaanan Eldad

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 38.6% DRAW 25.0% AWAY 36.3%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 40.3% 2.29 DRAW 25.6% 3.60 AWAY 34.1% 2.70

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 2.2 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Defensive Edge: Maccabi Neve Shaanan Eldad

The away side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Tzeirey Umm al-Fahm Maccabi Neve Shaanan Eldad

Shots 5.5 · On target 2.8 Shots 5.5 · On target 1.3

Recent attacking output favours Tzeirey Umm al-Fahm, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Tzeirey Umm al-Fahm Maccabi Neve Shaanan Eldad

Shots allowed 9.8 · On target allowed 6.5 Shots allowed 5.3 · On target allowed 1.8

Maccabi Neve Shaanan Eldad has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Tzeirey Umm al-Fahm Maccabi Neve Shaanan Eldad

The combined recent performance profile favours Maccabi Neve Shaanan Eldad.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home strengthening

Tzeirey Umm al-Fahm ↓ -0.45 (-16.3%)

Maccabi Neve Shaanan Eldad ↑ +0.42 (+18.4%)

The home price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the home side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.