Deportivo Rayo Zuliano vs Portuguesa

13 Sep 2026 · 21:30

OPPORTUNITY

STRONG EDGE AWAY +6.1 pp

Deportivo Rayo Zuliano

Portuguesa

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 20.8% DRAW 25.7% AWAY 53.6%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 25.5% 3.64 DRAW 27.0% 3.43 AWAY 47.5% 1.95

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet rates Portuguesa substantially higher than the market does.

Our calibrated model estimates a 53.6% win probability, compared with 47.5% implied by the market. The 6.1 percentage-point difference indicates a strong divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Portuguesa has the stronger recent profile

The away side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Deportivo Rayo Zuliano Portuguesa

Shots 6.0 · On target 2.5 Shots 14.5 · On target 4.5

Recent attacking output favours Portuguesa, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Deportivo Rayo Zuliano Portuguesa

Shots allowed 21.0 · On target allowed 6.0 Shots allowed 10.8 · On target allowed 3.5

Portuguesa has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Deportivo Rayo Zuliano Portuguesa

The combined recent performance profile favours Portuguesa.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Deportivo Rayo Zuliano ↑ +0.13 (+3.7%)

Portuguesa ↑ +0.01 (+0.6%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.