Wit Georgia vs Lokomotiv Tbilisi

09 Sep 2026 · 14:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.5 pp

Wit Georgia

Lokomotiv Tbilisi

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 35.1% DRAW 25.9% AWAY 38.9%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 33.7% 2.74 DRAW 26.3% 3.50 AWAY 40.0% 2.30

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.5 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Defensive Edge: Wit Georgia

The home side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Wit Georgia Lokomotiv Tbilisi

Shots 9.8 · On target 5.5 Shots 11.3 · On target 5.3

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Wit Georgia Lokomotiv Tbilisi

Shots allowed 6.3 · On target allowed 2.8 Shots allowed 8.8 · On target allowed 2.8

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Wit Georgia Lokomotiv Tbilisi

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away strengthening

Wit Georgia ↑ +0.48 (+21.5%)

Lokomotiv Tbilisi ↓ -0.69 (-23.8%)

The away price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the away side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.