Zamora vs Trujillanos

13 Sep 2026 · 22:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.7 pp

Zamora

Trujillanos

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 48.0% DRAW 29.6% AWAY 22.4%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 49.2% 1.89 DRAW 29.1% 3.20 AWAY 21.7% 4.30

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.7 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Zamora

The away side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Zamora Trujillanos

Shots 13.3 · On target 4.3 Shots 10.8 · On target 4.3

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Zamora Trujillanos

Shots allowed 14.3 · On target allowed 6.0 Shots allowed 9.3 · On target allowed 5.3

Trujillanos has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Zamora Trujillanos

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home weakening

Zamora ↑ +0.17 (+9.6%)

Trujillanos ↓ -0.03 (-0.8%)

The home price has moved clearly higher, while the away price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.