Sporting San Miguelito Reserves vs Alianza FC Reserves

11 Sep 2026 · 03:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.3 pp

Sporting San Miguelito Reserves

Alianza FC Reserves

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 60.8% DRAW 23.3% AWAY 16.0%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 59.4% 1.57 DRAW 23.9% 3.90 AWAY 16.6% 5.61

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.3 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Sporting San Miguelito Reserves

The home side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Sporting San Miguelito Reserves Alianza FC Reserves

Shots 11.5 · On target 5.8 Shots 6.0 · On target 4.3

Recent attacking output favours Sporting San Miguelito Reserves, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Sporting San Miguelito Reserves Alianza FC Reserves

Shots allowed 10.3 · On target allowed 4.0 Shots allowed 8.5 · On target allowed 3.5

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Sporting San Miguelito Reserves Alianza FC Reserves

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away weakening

Sporting San Miguelito Reserves = (0.0%)

Alianza FC Reserves ↑ +0.86 (+18.1%)

The away price has moved clearly higher, while the home price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.