Hajduk Split vs Slaven Belupo

13 Sep 2026 · 20:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.9 pp

Hajduk Split

Slaven Belupo

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 76.3% DRAW 13.9% AWAY 9.8%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 74.4% 1.30 DRAW 15.2% 6.34 AWAY 10.4% 9.30

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.9 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Hajduk Split has the stronger recent profile

The home side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Hajduk Split Slaven Belupo

Shots 15.5 · On target 7.8 Shots 14.5 · On target 5.0

Recent attacking output favours Hajduk Split, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Hajduk Split Slaven Belupo

Shots allowed 8.8 · On target allowed 3.3 Shots allowed 11.5 · On target allowed 3.3

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Hajduk Split Slaven Belupo

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away weakening

Hajduk Split = (0.0%)

Slaven Belupo ↑ +2.05 (+29.3%)

The away price has moved clearly higher, while the home price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.