Plaza Amador (W) vs Tevi Cocle (W)

10 Sep 2026 · 16:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +2.0 pp

Plaza Amador (W)

Tevi Cocle (W)

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 77.8% DRAW 11.3% AWAY 10.9%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 75.8% 1.27 DRAW 12.8% 7.50 AWAY 11.3% 8.50

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 2.0 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Tevi Cocle (W)

The home side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Plaza Amador (W) Tevi Cocle (W)

Shots 6.8 · On target 3.0 Shots 8.5 · On target 3.5

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Plaza Amador (W) Tevi Cocle (W)

Shots allowed 12.3 · On target allowed 9.0 Shots allowed 17.8 · On target allowed 11.0

Plaza Amador (W) has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Plaza Amador (W) Tevi Cocle (W)

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away strengthening

Plaza Amador (W) ↑ +0.09 (+7.5%)

Tevi Cocle (W) ↓ -2.50 (-22.7%)

The away price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the away side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.