Inter Alagoano U20 vs AS Arapiraquense U20

13 Sep 2026 · 20:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.3 pp

Inter Alagoano U20

AS Arapiraquense U20

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 36.3% DRAW 25.7% AWAY 37.9%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 35.0% 2.70 DRAW 26.2% 3.61 AWAY 38.8% 2.44

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.3 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Inter Alagoano U20

Recent attacking and defensive numbers do not show a clear overall edge.

Attack Recent attacking output

Inter Alagoano U20 AS Arapiraquense U20

Shots 12.3 · On target 5.0 Shots 9.3 · On target 3.5

Recent attacking output favours Inter Alagoano U20, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Inter Alagoano U20 AS Arapiraquense U20

Shots allowed 5.3 · On target allowed 3.0 Shots allowed 3.3 · On target allowed 1.3

AS Arapiraquense U20 has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Inter Alagoano U20 AS Arapiraquense U20

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home strengthening

Inter Alagoano U20 ↓ -0.30 (-10.0%)

AS Arapiraquense U20 ↑ +0.44 (+22.0%)

The home price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the home side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.