Ezra FC vs Shan Utd

11 Sep 2026 · 13:30

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.6 pp

Ezra FC

Shan Utd

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 11.8% DRAW 16.6% AWAY 71.6%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 11.2% 8.35 DRAW 17.0% 5.50 AWAY 71.8% 1.30

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.6 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Shan Utd

The away side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Ezra FC Shan Utd

Shots 2.3 · On target 0.8 Shots 6.0 · On target 3.0

Recent attacking output favours Shan Utd, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Ezra FC Shan Utd

Shots allowed 4.3 · On target allowed 2.5 Shots allowed 5.5 · On target allowed 3.0

Ezra FC has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Ezra FC Shan Utd

The combined recent performance profile favours Shan Utd.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home weakening

Ezra FC ↑ +2.10 (+33.6%)

Shan Utd = (0.0%)

The home price has moved clearly higher, while the away price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.