Fenerbahce U19 vs Roma U19

10 Sep 2026 · 13:00

OPPORTUNITY

SLIGHT EDGE AWAY +2.5 pp

Fenerbahce U19

Roma U19

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 20.3% DRAW 18.2% AWAY 61.5%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 21.5% 4.34 DRAW 19.6% 4.75 AWAY 58.9% 1.58

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet sees a slight edge for Roma U19 relative to the market.

Our calibrated model estimates a 61.5% win probability, compared with 58.9% implied by the market. The 2.5 percentage-point difference suggests a modest divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Roma U19 has the stronger recent profile

The away side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Fenerbahce U19 Roma U19

Shots 6.8 · On target 2.5 Shots 13.5 · On target 3.5

Recent attacking output favours Roma U19, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Fenerbahce U19 Roma U19

Shots allowed 11.8 · On target allowed 5.0 Shots allowed 9.0 · On target allowed 4.0

Roma U19 has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Fenerbahce U19 Roma U19

The combined recent performance profile favours Roma U19.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home weakening

Fenerbahce U19 ↑ +0.54 (+14.1%)

Roma U19 ↓ -0.04 (-2.2%)

The home price has moved clearly higher, while the away price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.