AGF (W) vs Fortuna Hjørring (W)

09 Sep 2026 · 17:30

OPPORTUNITY

SLIGHT EDGE AWAY +3.3 pp

AGF (W)

Fortuna Hjørring (W)

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 6.8% DRAW 10.3% AWAY 82.9%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 8.3% 11.00 DRAW 12.1% 7.50 AWAY 79.6% 1.14

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet sees a slight edge for Fortuna Hjørring (W) relative to the market.

Our calibrated model estimates a 82.9% win probability, compared with 79.6% implied by the market. The 3.3 percentage-point difference suggests a modest divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Fortuna Hjørring (W) has the stronger recent profile

The away side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

AGF (W) Fortuna Hjørring (W)

Shots 7.8 · On target 2.3 Shots 10.0 · On target 5.5

Recent attacking output favours Fortuna Hjørring (W), combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

AGF (W) Fortuna Hjørring (W)

Shots allowed 20.0 · On target allowed 9.5 Shots allowed 8.8 · On target allowed 4.3

Fortuna Hjørring (W) has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

AGF (W) Fortuna Hjørring (W)

The combined recent performance profile favours Fortuna Hjørring (W).

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

AGF (W) = (0.0%)

Fortuna Hjørring (W) = (0.0%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.