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Uruguay Cup · UY

Albion FC vs CA River Plate

16 Sep 2026 · 20:00
NEAR MARKET +0.1 pp
Albion FC
CA River Plate
HOME 41.5% DRAW 31.2% AWAY 27.3%
HOME 42.0% 2.20 DRAW 30.8% 3.00 AWAY 27.2% 3.39

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.1 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Albion FC

Recent attacking and defensive numbers do not show a clear overall edge.

Attack Recent attacking output
Albion FC CA River Plate
Shots 7.8 · On target 4.5 Shots 7.3 · On target 2.8

Recent attacking output favours Albion FC, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance
Albion FC CA River Plate
Shots allowed 9.3 · On target allowed 4.8 Shots allowed 6.3 · On target allowed 3.5

CA River Plate has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence
Albion FC CA River Plate

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home strengthening

Albion FC ↓ -0.20 (-8.3%)
CA River Plate ↑ +0.64 (+23.3%)

The home price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the home side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.