Sokol Kleczew vs Olimpia Grudziadz

11 Sep 2026 · 12:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.6 pp

Sokol Kleczew

Olimpia Grudziadz

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 23.7% DRAW 23.5% AWAY 52.8%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 23.7% 3.97 DRAW 24.1% 3.91 AWAY 52.3% 1.80

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.6 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Sokol Kleczew

The away side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Sokol Kleczew Olimpia Grudziadz

Shots 18.5 · On target 7.0 Shots 12.3 · On target 4.5

Recent attacking output favours Sokol Kleczew, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Sokol Kleczew Olimpia Grudziadz

Shots allowed 16.0 · On target allowed 7.5 Shots allowed 6.8 · On target allowed 3.0

Olimpia Grudziadz has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Sokol Kleczew Olimpia Grudziadz

The combined recent performance profile favours Olimpia Grudziadz.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home strengthening

Sokol Kleczew ↓ -0.40 (-9.2%)

Olimpia Grudziadz ↓ -0.05 (-2.7%)

The home price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the home side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.