Ferrocarril Midland Reserves vs CA Atlanta Reserves

10 Sep 2026 · 18:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.9 pp

Ferrocarril Midland Reserves

CA Atlanta Reserves

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 26.4% DRAW 29.4% AWAY 44.2%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 25.5% 3.70 DRAW 29.0% 3.25 AWAY 45.5% 2.07

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.9 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Mixed Performance

Recent attacking and defensive numbers do not show a clear overall edge.

Attack Recent attacking output

Ferrocarril Midland Reserves CA Atlanta Reserves

Shots 8.8 · On target 2.8 Shots 7.0 · On target 3.5

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Ferrocarril Midland Reserves CA Atlanta Reserves

Shots allowed 8.0 · On target allowed 4.0 Shots allowed 8.8 · On target allowed 3.0

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Ferrocarril Midland Reserves CA Atlanta Reserves

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home weakening

Ferrocarril Midland Reserves ↑ +0.50 (+15.6%)

CA Atlanta Reserves ↓ -0.03 (-1.4%)

The home price has moved clearly higher, while the away price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.