CA San Miguel Reserves vs CD Moron Reserves

10 Sep 2026 · 16:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.2 pp

CA San Miguel Reserves

CD Moron Reserves

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 40.8% DRAW 31.2% AWAY 28.0%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 39.6% 2.45 DRAW 31.0% 3.13 AWAY 29.4% 3.30

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.2 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: CA San Miguel Reserves

Recent attacking and defensive numbers do not show a clear overall edge.

Attack Recent attacking output

CA San Miguel Reserves CD Moron Reserves

Shots 10.8 · On target 6.0 Shots 5.8 · On target 1.3

Recent attacking output favours CA San Miguel Reserves, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

CA San Miguel Reserves CD Moron Reserves

Shots allowed 11.0 · On target allowed 4.5 Shots allowed 5.3 · On target allowed 3.3

CD Moron Reserves has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

CA San Miguel Reserves CD Moron Reserves

The combined recent performance profile favours CA San Miguel Reserves.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

CA San Miguel Reserves ↑ +0.05 (+2.1%)

CD Moron Reserves ↓ -0.16 (-4.6%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.