Deportivo Espanol Reserves vs JJ Urquiza Reserves

10 Sep 2026 · 17:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +2.0 pp

Deportivo Espanol Reserves

JJ Urquiza Reserves

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 46.2% DRAW 28.4% AWAY 25.4%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 48.6% 2.02 DRAW 28.0% 3.50 AWAY 23.4% 4.20

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 2.0 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Defensive Edge: JJ Urquiza Reserves

The away side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Deportivo Espanol Reserves JJ Urquiza Reserves

Shots 7.5 · On target 2.5 Shots 7.3 · On target 4.5

Recent attacking output favours JJ Urquiza Reserves, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Deportivo Espanol Reserves JJ Urquiza Reserves

Shots allowed 10.0 · On target allowed 4.5 Shots allowed 5.3 · On target allowed 3.3

JJ Urquiza Reserves has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Deportivo Espanol Reserves JJ Urquiza Reserves

The combined recent performance profile favours JJ Urquiza Reserves.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home weakening

Deportivo Espanol Reserves ↑ +0.27 (+15.4%)

JJ Urquiza Reserves = (0.0%)

The home price has moved clearly higher, while the away price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.