Estrella del Sur Reserves vs Leones de Rosario Reserves

10 Sep 2026 · 19:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.3 pp

Estrella del Sur Reserves

Leones de Rosario Reserves

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 32.3% DRAW 25.9% AWAY 41.8%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 32.0% 2.80 DRAW 26.3% 3.40 AWAY 41.7% 2.15

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.3 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Leones de Rosario Reserves

Recent attacking and defensive numbers do not show a clear overall edge.

Attack Recent attacking output

Estrella del Sur Reserves Leones de Rosario Reserves

Shots 11.3 · On target 4.8 Shots 14.8 · On target 8.0

Recent attacking output favours Leones de Rosario Reserves, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Estrella del Sur Reserves Leones de Rosario Reserves

Shots allowed 5.0 · On target allowed 2.5 Shots allowed 9.5 · On target allowed 2.8

Estrella del Sur Reserves has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Estrella del Sur Reserves Leones de Rosario Reserves

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Estrella del Sur Reserves = (0.0%)

Leones de Rosario Reserves = (0.0%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.