Pinheirense EC vs Tesla FC

10 Sep 2026 · 20:30

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.9 pp

Pinheirense EC

Tesla FC

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 34.9% DRAW 27.3% AWAY 37.8%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 33.0% 2.76 DRAW 27.5% 3.31 AWAY 39.5% 2.30

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.9 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Defensive Edge: Pinheirense EC

The home side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Pinheirense EC Tesla FC

Shots 2.5 · On target 0.5 Shots 2.0 · On target 1.0

Recent attacking output favours Tesla FC, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Pinheirense EC Tesla FC

Shots allowed 2.5 · On target allowed 0.8 Shots allowed 4.5 · On target allowed 1.8

Pinheirense EC has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Pinheirense EC Tesla FC

The combined recent performance profile favours Pinheirense EC.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Pinheirense EC ↑ +0.19 (+7.2%)

Tesla FC ↑ +0.06 (+2.7%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.