RWD Molenbeek vs Charleroi II

12 Sep 2026 · 20:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +2.3 pp

RWD Molenbeek

Charleroi II

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 53.7% DRAW 24.2% AWAY 22.1%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 56.1% 1.63 DRAW 24.1% 3.80 AWAY 19.8% 4.63

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 2.3 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Charleroi II has the stronger recent profile

The away side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

RWD Molenbeek Charleroi II

Shots 7.3 · On target 3.5 Shots 11.8 · On target 4.0

Recent attacking output favours Charleroi II, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

RWD Molenbeek Charleroi II

Shots allowed 10.3 · On target allowed 2.8 Shots allowed 6.5 · On target allowed 2.3

Charleroi II has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

RWD Molenbeek Charleroi II

The combined recent performance profile favours Charleroi II.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home strengthening

RWD Molenbeek ↓ -0.22 (-11.9%)

Charleroi II ↑ +1.04 (+29.0%)

The home price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the home side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.