RTC FC vs Thimphu City

10 Sep 2026 · 11:00

OPPORTUNITY

CLEAR EDGE AWAY +4.2 pp

RTC FC

Thimphu City

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 16.0% DRAW 21.1% AWAY 62.9%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 18.6% 5.27 DRAW 22.6% 4.33 AWAY 58.7% 1.67

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet rates Thimphu City clearly higher than the market does.

Our calibrated model estimates a 62.9% win probability, compared with 58.7% implied by the market. The 4.2 percentage-point difference indicates a clear divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Thimphu City has the stronger recent profile

The away side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

RTC FC Thimphu City

Shots 16.5 · On target 2.3 Shots 26.0 · On target 8.0

Recent attacking output favours Thimphu City, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

RTC FC Thimphu City

Shots allowed 14.0 · On target allowed 2.0 Shots allowed 11.0 · On target allowed 2.0

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

RTC FC Thimphu City

The combined recent performance profile favours Thimphu City.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home weakening

RTC FC ↑ +1.66 (+45.8%)

Thimphu City ↓ -0.01 (-0.6%)

The home price has moved clearly higher, while the away price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.