Defensores de Cambaceres vs Sportivo Barracas

13 Sep 2026 · 20:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.7 pp

Defensores de Cambaceres

Sportivo Barracas

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 35.0% DRAW 34.2% AWAY 30.8%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 34.2% 2.78 DRAW 33.4% 2.85 AWAY 32.4% 2.94

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.7 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Defensores de Cambaceres has the stronger recent profile

The home side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Defensores de Cambaceres Sportivo Barracas

Shots 8.5 · On target 3.8 Shots 8.0 · On target 3.3

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Defensores de Cambaceres Sportivo Barracas

Shots allowed 7.8 · On target allowed 2.5 Shots allowed 8.3 · On target allowed 3.3

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Defensores de Cambaceres Sportivo Barracas

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away weakening

Defensores de Cambaceres ↑ +0.08 (+3.0%)

Sportivo Barracas ↑ +0.24 (+8.9%)

The away price has moved clearly higher, while the home price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.