Fenix vs Centro Espanol

14 Sep 2026 · 20:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.8 pp

Fenix

Centro Espanol

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 22.6% DRAW 32.1% AWAY 45.3%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 24.7% 3.80 DRAW 31.8% 2.95 AWAY 43.5% 2.16

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.8 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Centro Espanol has the stronger recent profile

The away side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Fenix Centro Espanol

Shots 3.8 · On target 1.5 Shots 7.8 · On target 3.5

Recent attacking output favours Centro Espanol, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Fenix Centro Espanol

Shots allowed 9.8 · On target allowed 4.0 Shots allowed 6.5 · On target allowed 2.5

Centro Espanol has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Fenix Centro Espanol

The combined recent performance profile favours Centro Espanol.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home strengthening

Fenix ↓ -0.40 (-9.5%)

Centro Espanol ↑ +0.33 (+17.8%)

The home price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the home side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.