Gor Mahia vs Bandari FC

11 Sep 2026 · 14:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.4 pp

Gor Mahia

Bandari FC

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 57.7% DRAW 27.9% AWAY 14.4%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 58.7% 1.57 DRAW 27.3% 3.38 AWAY 14.0% 6.57

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.4 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Gor Mahia

Recent attacking and defensive numbers do not show a clear overall edge.

Attack Recent attacking output

Gor Mahia Bandari FC

Shots 12.5 · On target 4.0 Shots 8.5 · On target 2.3

Recent attacking output favours Gor Mahia, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Gor Mahia Bandari FC

Shots allowed 12.3 · On target allowed 5.3 Shots allowed 8.3 · On target allowed 3.0

Bandari FC has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Gor Mahia Bandari FC

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away weakening

Gor Mahia = (0.0%)

Bandari FC ↑ +0.82 (+14.3%)

The away price has moved clearly higher, while the home price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.