Mombasa United vs Kenya Police FC

11 Sep 2026 · 14:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.4 pp

Mombasa United

Kenya Police FC

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 24.8% DRAW 31.0% AWAY 44.2%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 25.5% 3.60 DRAW 30.7% 3.00 AWAY 43.8% 2.10

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.4 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Kenya Police FC

The away side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Mombasa United Kenya Police FC

Shots 12.0 · On target 3.0 Shots 19.3 · On target 6.0

Recent attacking output favours Kenya Police FC, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Mombasa United Kenya Police FC

Shots allowed 9.8 · On target allowed 3.8 Shots allowed 13.8 · On target allowed 4.5

Mombasa United has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Mombasa United Kenya Police FC

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Mombasa United = (0.0%)

Kenya Police FC ↑ +0.10 (+5.0%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.