Parrillas One vs Pumas FC

13 Sep 2026 · 23:30

OPPORTUNITY

SLIGHT EDGE HOME +3.6 pp

Parrillas One

Pumas FC

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 51.2% DRAW 26.9% AWAY 21.9%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 47.6% 1.95 DRAW 27.7% 3.35 AWAY 24.7% 3.75

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet sees a slight edge for Parrillas One relative to the market.

Our calibrated model estimates a 51.2% win probability, compared with 47.6% implied by the market. The 3.6 percentage-point difference suggests a modest divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Parrillas One

The home side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Parrillas One Pumas FC

Shots 11.3 · On target 5.5 Shots 3.0 · On target 0.8

Recent attacking output favours Parrillas One, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Parrillas One Pumas FC

Shots allowed 4.5 · On target allowed 1.8 Shots allowed 3.0 · On target allowed 0.8

Pumas FC has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Parrillas One Pumas FC

The combined recent performance profile favours Parrillas One.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Parrillas One ↑ +0.08 (+4.3%)

Pumas FC ↓ -0.04 (-1.0%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.