Beitar Petah Tikva vs MS Bnei Jaffa Ortodoxim

10 Sep 2026 · 15:00

OPPORTUNITY

SLIGHT EDGE AWAY +3.3 pp

Beitar Petah Tikva

MS Bnei Jaffa Ortodoxim

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 32.7% DRAW 24.5% AWAY 42.8%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 35.1% 2.59 DRAW 25.3% 3.60 AWAY 39.6% 2.30

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet sees a slight edge for MS Bnei Jaffa Ortodoxim relative to the market.

Our calibrated model estimates a 42.8% win probability, compared with 39.6% implied by the market. The 3.3 percentage-point difference suggests a modest divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: MS Bnei Jaffa Ortodoxim

The away side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Beitar Petah Tikva MS Bnei Jaffa Ortodoxim

Shots 5.3 · On target 1.8 Shots 9.8 · On target 6.5

Recent attacking output favours MS Bnei Jaffa Ortodoxim, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Beitar Petah Tikva MS Bnei Jaffa Ortodoxim

Shots allowed 6.5 · On target allowed 1.5 Shots allowed 3.5 · On target allowed 2.3

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Beitar Petah Tikva MS Bnei Jaffa Ortodoxim

The combined recent performance profile favours MS Bnei Jaffa Ortodoxim.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away strengthening

Beitar Petah Tikva ↑ +0.44 (+20.5%)

MS Bnei Jaffa Ortodoxim ↓ -0.40 (-14.8%)

The away price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the away side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.