Club Oriental Reserves vs Atletico River Plate Reserves

14 Sep 2026 · 19:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.6 pp

Club Oriental Reserves

Atletico River Plate Reserves

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 31.9% DRAW 26.4% AWAY 41.7%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 33.1% 2.84 DRAW 26.9% 3.50 AWAY 40.0% 2.35

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.6 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Atletico River Plate Reserves has the stronger recent profile

The away side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Club Oriental Reserves Atletico River Plate Reserves

Shots 9.5 · On target 4.5 Shots 9.8 · On target 4.8

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Club Oriental Reserves Atletico River Plate Reserves

Shots allowed 15.8 · On target allowed 8.3 Shots allowed 10.0 · On target allowed 7.0

Atletico River Plate Reserves has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Club Oriental Reserves Atletico River Plate Reserves

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home weakening

Club Oriental Reserves ↑ +0.24 (+9.2%)

Atletico River Plate Reserves = (0.0%)

The home price has moved clearly higher, while the away price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.