Liverpool Montevideo Reserves vs Colon FC Reserves

14 Sep 2026 · 20:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.3 pp

Liverpool Montevideo Reserves

Colon FC Reserves

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 48.3% DRAW 26.6% AWAY 25.1%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 48.3% 2.00 DRAW 26.9% 3.60 AWAY 24.8% 3.90

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.3 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Colon FC Reserves

Recent attacking and defensive numbers do not show a clear overall edge.

Attack Recent attacking output

Liverpool Montevideo Reserves Colon FC Reserves

Shots 7.3 · On target 5.0 Shots 13.0 · On target 6.8

Recent attacking output favours Colon FC Reserves, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Liverpool Montevideo Reserves Colon FC Reserves

Shots allowed 11.8 · On target allowed 5.3 Shots allowed 14.3 · On target allowed 8.5

Liverpool Montevideo Reserves has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Liverpool Montevideo Reserves Colon FC Reserves

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home weakening

Liverpool Montevideo Reserves ↑ +0.27 (+15.8%)

Colon FC Reserves = (0.0%)

The home price has moved clearly higher, while the away price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.