Albion FC Reserves vs Club Atletico Progreso Reserves

15 Sep 2026 · 15:00

OPPORTUNITY

SLIGHT EDGE HOME +3.6 pp

Albion FC Reserves

Club Atletico Progreso Reserves

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 40.7% DRAW 26.8% AWAY 32.5%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 37.1% 2.50 DRAW 27.3% 3.40 AWAY 35.7% 2.60

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet sees a slight edge for Albion FC Reserves relative to the market.

Our calibrated model estimates a 40.7% win probability, compared with 37.1% implied by the market. The 3.6 percentage-point difference suggests a modest divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Defensive Edge: Albion FC Reserves

The home side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Albion FC Reserves Club Atletico Progreso Reserves

Shots 8.3 · On target 5.3 Shots 9.5 · On target 4.5

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Albion FC Reserves Club Atletico Progreso Reserves

Shots allowed 8.3 · On target allowed 4.0 Shots allowed 13.0 · On target allowed 7.8

Albion FC Reserves has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Albion FC Reserves Club Atletico Progreso Reserves

The combined recent performance profile favours Albion FC Reserves.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away strengthening

Albion FC Reserves ↑ +0.35 (+16.3%)

Club Atletico Progreso Reserves ↓ -0.20 (-7.1%)

The away price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the away side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.